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  Index –› Academics & Education –› Science Courses
   
 

Statistics of Probability Should Not Be Used to Prove Something Does Not Exist

   
Author: Lance Winslow
 

Have you ever heard someone say; the chances of that happening are one million to one, it is just not possible. Yet, we know for a fact that the chances of winning the lottery are indeed one million to one. But we know someone will win, they always do, that is how it works. So often, we hear people attempt to prove that something is impossible using mathematical statistics, probability if you will.

For instance the chance of life, that is to say complex life in a human form within the Milky Way has been quoted as one million to one. Yet, here we sit today, alive and well on this pale blue dot. So statistically speaking humans cannot possibly exist, right! But since we do you here we are, obviously those statistics don't mean a damn thing.

Recently someone in an online think tank stated that statistically the chances of life on Mars, that is to say complex life, as we already know there is some life; you statistically impossible. I completely disagree, as a matter of fact if you will recall the famous line in Jurassic Park, with the scientists said; life will always find a way and we can see from observation here on earth if there is life everywhere. From volcanic vents 10,000 leagues under the sea at temperatures of more than 1800 degrees bathed in waters saturated with HCl to bacteria colonies encapsulated in ice at subzero temperatures. Yes, statistically improbable, highly unlikely, but not impossible statistically or otherwise.

Next time you here someone say; statistically that's impossible can you do me a favor and bop them in the head for me. There is just too much evidence that suggests the exact opposite. We live in a realm where events occur, they always have any always will; statistically speaking that is. Consider this in 2006.

 
 
 

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